Evening Review on January 9, 2026: Market Divergence Intensifies, Focus on Policy Drivers and Earnings Risks

#Market Review#Policy Driven#Earnings Forecast#Rare Earth#New Energy

Market Review and Outlook

Hong Kong's three major indices ended their losing streak with modest gains today, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.32%. Sectors like non-ferrous metals and oil were active, while airlines and photovoltaics were relatively weak. In the A-share market, trading was active, with the Shanghai Composite Index reclaiming the 4100-point level after a decade. Coverage by the official WeChat account of Xinwen Lianbo (News Simulcast) indicates heightened market attention.

Key Drivers and Risk Factors

  1. Clear Policy Direction: The State Administration for Market Regulation announced plans to accelerate the development of national standards for new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, and the photovoltaic industry, aiming to lead the high-quality development of these "new three" sectors with standards.
  2. Industry Price Dynamics: Both China Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH) and Baotou Steel (600010.SH) announced a 2.4% quarter-on-quarter increase in the transaction price of rare earth concentrate for Q1 2026, reflecting firmness in upstream rare earth prices.
  3. Regulation and Competition: The Anti-Monopoly and Anti-Unfair Competition Committee of the State Council launched an investigation and assessment of the food delivery platform service industry, signaling continued regulatory scrutiny in the platform economy sector.
  4. Earnings Risks Emerge: DZH (601519.SH) and Jiuding Investment (600053.SH) both issued 2025 annual performance forecasts, expecting net losses. This serves as a reminder for investors to be wary of potential earnings disappointments during the reporting season.

Investment Strategy Suggestion

The current market navigates between optimism and structural risks. Investors are advised to follow the policy主线 (main thread), focusing on sectors like new energy and rare earths that benefit from industrial upgrading and price increases. Simultaneously, caution is warranted towards stocks with poor earnings forecasts, emphasizing fundamental analysis.

This article does not constitute any investment advice. The stock market involves risks, and investment requires caution!